Stars vs. Wild Prediction & Picks - NHL Playoffs First Round Game 4

The Minnesota Wild host the Dallas Stars Saturday at Grand Casino Arena for Game 4 of the NHL Playoffs First Round, beginning at 5:30 p.m. ET on TBS. The Stars hold a 2-1 lead in the series. Oddsmakers list the Stars as the underdog in this matchup, assigning them +118 moneyline odds against the Wild (-141).

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Here is our prediction for who will clinch the victory in this NHL Playoffs First Round contest.

Stars vs. Wild Predictions for Saturday

Our computer projection model for this game calls for a final result of Wild 4, Stars 3.

• Moneyline Pick: Wild (-141)
• Total Pick: Over 6 (computer predicts 6.2 goals on average)
• Spread Pick: Stars (+1.5)

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Wild Splits and Trends

• The Wild (46-24-12 overall) have a 15-13-28 record in contests that have needed overtime.
• In the 29 games Minnesota has played that were decided by one goal, it has a 16-5-8 record (good for 40 points).
• Looking at the 11 times this season the Wild ended a game with only one goal, they have a 1-8-2 record, good for four points.
• Minnesota has scored exactly two goals in 18 games this season (4-10-4 record, 12 points).
• The Wild are 42-7-7 in the 56 games when they have scored at least three goals (to record 91 points).
• In the 36 games when Minnesota has capitalized on a lone power-play goal, it went 19-10-7 to record 45 points.
• When it has outshot opponents, Minnesota is 22-11-5 (49 points).
• The Wild's opponents have had more shots in 45 games. The Wild finished 24-13-8 in those contests (56 points).

Stars Splits and Trends

• The Stars have a 50-20-12 record this season and are 13-12-25 in contests that have required overtime.
• In the 37 games Dallas has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 54 points.
• In 13 games this season when the Stars ended a game with only one goal, they earned a total of seven points (2-8-3).
• Dallas has 11 points (4-3-3) when scoring two goals this season.
• The Stars have scored three or more goals 59 times, earning 98 points from those matchups (46-7-6).
• Dallas has scored a lone power-play goal in 34 games this season and has recorded 54 points from those matchups.
• When it outshoots its opponent this season, Dallas has posted a record of 26-8-2 (54 points).
• The Stars have been outshot by opponents 45 times this season, and earned 58 points in those games.

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Team Stats Comparison

Stars vs. Wild Game Time and TV Channel

• When: Saturday, April 25, 2026 at 5:30 p.m. ET
• TV Channel: TBS
• Live Stream: Watch this match on HBO Max (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Grand Casino Arena in Saint Paul, Minnesota

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