Wild vs. Maple Leafs Prediction & Picks - March 15

Minnesota Wild v Vegas Golden Knights

Photo: Ethan Miller / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images

The Toronto Maple Leafs (28-27-12) will aim to stop a six-game road losing streak when they face the Minnesota Wild (38-17-12) on Sunday, March 15 at 7:30 p.m. ET on TNT.

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Get ready for this matchup by checking out our prediction for who will win the game in Sunday's hockey action.

Over the past 10 contests, the Maple Leafs are 1-6-3 while totaling 23 total goals (seven power-play goals on 28 power-play opportunities during that span, for a conversion rate of 25.0%). They have allowed 34 goals.

Wild vs. Maple Leafs Predictions for Sunday

Our computer model for this matchup calls for a final tally of Wild 4, Maple Leafs 2.

  • Moneyline Pick: Wild (-261)
  • Total Pick: Under 6.5 (computer predicts 6.1 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Wild (-1.5)

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Wild Splits and Trends

  • The Wild (38-17-12 overall) have a 13-12-25 record in matchups that have needed overtime.
  • Minnesota has 29 points (11-2-7) in the 20 games it has played that were decided by one goal.
  • Looking at the nine times this season the Wild finished a game with only one goal, they have a 1-6-2 record, good for four points.
  • Minnesota has taken 10 points from the 15 games this season when it scored a pair of goals (3-8-4 record).
  • The Wild are 34-3-6 in the 43 games when they have scored at least three goals (to register 74 points).
  • In the 31 games when Minnesota has capitalized on a lone power-play goal, it went 17-8-6 to register 40 points.
  • In the 28 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Minnesota is 17-6-5 (39 points).
  • The Wild's opponents have had more shots in 38 games. The Wild finished 20-11-7 in those matchups (47 points).

Maple Leafs Splits and Trends

  • The Maple Leafs have a record of 28-27-12 this season and are 8-12-20 in overtime matchups.
  • Toronto has earned 30 points (11-3-8) in its 22 games decided by one goal.
  • This season the Maple Leafs recorded just one goal in seven games and they've earned two points (0-5-2) in those contests.
  • Toronto has 15 points (5-10-5) when scoring exactly two goals this season.
  • The Maple Leafs have scored at least three goals 39 times, earning 51 points from those matchups (23-11-5).
  • Toronto has scored a single power-play goal in 21 games this season and has recorded 18 points from those matchups.
  • When outshooting its opponent this season, Toronto is 6-8-2 (14 points).
  • The Maple Leafs' opponents have had more shots in 49 games. The Maple Leafs went 20-19-10 in those matchups (50 points).

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Team Stats Comparison

Wild Rank Wild AVG Maple Leafs AVG Maple Leafs Rank
10th 3.28 Goals Scored 3.13 14th
5th 2.79 Goals Allowed 3.46 30th
8th 28.8 Shots 27.2 21st
30th 29.9 Shots Allowed 32.1 32nd
4th 25% Power Play % 19.88% 20th
18th 78.86% Penalty Kill % 83.33% 3rd

Wild vs. Maple Leafs Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Sunday, March 15, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: TNT
  • Live Stream: Watch this match on HBO Max (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: Grand Casino Arena in Saint Paul, Minnesota

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